also known, at my alma mater, as confusion and sadistics:
According to Democratic Convention Watch, Obama has 1,573 to Hillary’s 1,470 - with 630 pledged delegates (elected by the states) and 346 super-delegates still unaccounted for.
So, Obama would need to win 71.75% of the pledged delegates in all of the upcoming contests to win a clear victory without having to count on any of the as-yet un-declared superdelegates. If John Edwards* cedes his 26 delegates to Obama, Obama would only need to win 67.62% of the pledged delegates to grab the big brass ring.
Neither of those scenarios seem likely, but either is a helluva lot more likely than Clinton winning the nomination by getting 88.1% of the pledged delegates remaining. And even if all of the remaining superdelegates were to pledge themselves to Clinton, she would still have to receive at least 33% in all the primaries remaining to put her over the top - not much less than she has achieved in the states she’s lost to Obama so far.
If Clinton is this big a loser among the rank and file, how the hell is she supposed to win the general?
*Please email Sen. Edwards to ask him to make his endorsement for Sen. Obama, and make it soon - certainly no later than April 15.
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